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Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Economic Activity
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by Desai, Mihir A.; Foley, C. Fritz; Hines Jr., J.R.
How does rising foreign investment influence domestic economic activity? Firms whose foreign operations grow rapidly exhibit coincident rapid growth of domestic operations, but this pattern alone is inconclusive, as foreign and domestic business activities are jointly determined. This study uses foreign GDP growth rates, interacted with lagged firm-specific geographic distributions of foreign investment, to predict changes in foreign investment by a large panel of American firms. Estimates produced using this instrument for changes in foreign activity indicate that 10% greater foreign capital investment is associated with 2.2% greater domestic investment, and that 10% greater foreign employee compensation is associated with 4.0% greater domestic employee compensation. Changes in foreign and domestic sales, assets, and numbers of employees are likewise positively associated; the evidence also indicates that greater foreign investment is associated with additional domestic exports and R&D spending. The data do not support the popular notion that greater foreign activity crowds out domestic activity by the same firms, instead suggesting the reverse.
Publication Type: WCFIA Working Paper
Published Date: October 2005
Field of Interest: International Economics
Desai, Mihir, C.F. Foley, and J.R. Hines Jr. "Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Economic Activity." Working Paper 2008-0020, Weatherhead Center for International Affairs, Harvard University, October 2005.
Also NBER Working Paper No. 11717 and Ross School of Business Working Paper No. 1020. October 2005.